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IMF Chief: AI Risks Could Outweigh Benefits 

The risks of artificial intelligence could outweigh its economic benefits without adequate safeguards and an ethical framework, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday, calling for industry self-regulation backed by governments and public engagement.

IMF Chief AI Risks Could Outweigh Benefits 

AI dominated discussions at this week’s annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Bangkok, where policymakers weighed the technology’s potential to boost productivity against concerns about employment, financial stability and the scale of investment needed to build AI infrastructure.

During a panel discussion with Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, Georgieva said AI was already strengthening the global economy but could also trigger negative shocks if the productivity gains investors and businesses expected failed to materialise quickly enough.

“If there are no safeguards, then the risks may exceed the opportunities. And above all, we do need an ethical foundation, and I’m not sure we are there as a society,” she said.

The IMF has highlighted risks to economic growth and financial stability from a potential end to the AI investment boom, high debt levels and a prolonged war in the Middle East.

Georgieva said widespread adoption of AI required access to digital infrastructure, reliable electricity and appropriate regulation, warning that the benefits would remain uneven without those foundations.

CALLS FOR COMMON SENSE STANDARDS

The challenge was to establish safeguards for a technology evolving faster than traditional regulatory systems could respond, Georgieva said, comparing AI development to Formula One racing without barriers to protect spectators.

She said industry self-regulation had a role because governments could struggle to keep pace with technological change, but companies needed to engage with wider society. The United States, China and India, along with countries involved in AI supply chains, should participate in shaping safeguards, she said.

“I think it’s Formula One at night, without maybe brakes in the cars,” Clark said, extending Georgieva’s analogy.

Clark said standards were possible and that efforts were already under way through early policy frameworks in the European Union and voluntary commitments in the United States.

Anthropic regularly tested its AI systems, published information about the tests and shared the results, Clark said, adding that oversight should not be entirely voluntary.

Asked whether he supported regulation by countries developing AI, Clark said: “Yes. We need common sense standards, and that’s how you ultimately give confidence in the technology and build the economy.”

The debate comes as governments seek to balance AI innovation with safeguards against potential harms, while companies and investors pour money into computing infrastructure, chips and data centres in anticipation of rising demand.

Harvard economist Dani Rodrik said uncertainty over whether AI would deliver the productivity gains being forecast created two distinct economic risks.

If those gains materialised, they could be accompanied by substantial job losses and displacement in affected industries. If they failed to materialise, heavy investment in data centres could instead lead to a costly financial correction, he said.

“We don’t know which one of those two crises we’re going to have to deal with — whether it’s the jobs crisis or the financial crisis,” Rodrik told Reuters after the interdisciplinary WZB Conference in Berlin last week.

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