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Despite Profit, Dealmaking Momentum Is Slowing for JPMorgan and Shareholders Are Worried

JPMorgan Chase reported higher third-quarter profit on Tuesday, but its shares fell as investors assessed signs of slowing momentum in investment banking and uncertainty over the outlook for corporate dealmaking.

Despite Profit, Dealmaking Momentum Is Slowing for JPMorgan and Shareholders Are Worried

The largest US bank posted net income of $15.3 billion, or $5.57 per share, for the three months ended September 30, compared with $14.4 billion, or $5.07 per share, a year earlier. Its shares declined about 3% in premarket trading following the results.

Investment banking fees rose 14% from a year earlier but fell 8% from the second quarter, suggesting that the strong pace of activity earlier in the year was beginning to moderate. The slowdown came amid growing uncertainty in financial markets and questions over whether companies would continue pursuing major transactions at the same pace.

The initial public offering market has also lost some momentum in recent weeks, raising concerns about the outlook for banks that earn fees from underwriting share sales, arranging mergers and acquisitions, and advising companies on capital raising.

Despite the quarterly decline in investment banking fees, JPMorgan continued to benefit from activity across its trading business. Revenue in its markets division, which includes equity and fixed-income trading, increased 15% from a year earlier as market volatility encouraged investors to adjust their portfolios and hedge against risk.

Trading has provided an important source of revenue for major Wall Street banks amid uncertainty over interest rates, geopolitical tensions and energy prices. However, the sustainability of those gains remains uncertain if market conditions become less favourable or client activity weakens further.

JPMorgan’s consumer banking business also supported its performance. Net interest income, excluding markets, increased 6% to $24.7 billion, while average loans rose 10% from a year earlier. The figures reflected continued lending activity and relatively resilient consumer demand.

Investors are nevertheless monitoring the outlook for interest rates and borrowing costs, which could affect loan demand, credit quality and banks’ net interest income in coming quarters.

JPMorgan’s results offered a mixed picture of the banking sector. Profit remained above year-earlier levels, supported by trading and consumer lending, but the decline in investment banking fees from the previous quarter highlighted the challenges facing dealmakers.

Investors are looking to earnings from other major US banks for further evidence of whether the moderation in corporate transactions is temporary or signals a broader slowdown in Wall Street activity.

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